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Ocado Group PLC OCDO

Morningstar Rating
GBX 430.80 +6.70 (1.58%)
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Company Report

Ocado Group Earnings: Solid Performance Across the Board Leads to Higher Profit Guidance

No-moat Ocado Group reported half-year results, with revenue up 12.6% and group adjusted EBITDA of GBP 71.2 million ahead of expectations. Ocado Retail's performance (revenue up 11%) was driven by customer growth of 8.1% to 1,037,000, growth in average orders per week of 9.2% to 428,000, and the average basket value increasing 1.8%, in turn due to 1.5% higher average selling price, with basket sizes remaining stable (44.7 items). Profitability was EBITDA-positive at GBP 20.7 million, with progress expected, driven by efficiencies and operational leverage, toward a mid-single-digit EBITDA margin in the midterm (5% in our model by fiscal 2025).

Price vs Fair Value

OCDO is trading at a 444% premium.
Price
GBX 430.80
Fair Value
GBX 889.00
Uncertainty
Very High
1-Star Price
GBX 9,499.00
5-Star Price
GBX 899.00
Economic Moat
Xfx
Capital Allocation
Qvlzqmclxg

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

We see Ocado Smart Platform as one of the most efficient and reliable end-to-end online fulfillment solutions for the grocery market nowadays.

Bears

There is considerable execution risk involved in rolling out committed CFCs for partners/grocers over the next few years.

Is it the right time to buy, sell, or hold?
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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
GBX 424.10
Day Range
GBX 418.86434.80
52-Week Range
GBX 278.171,017.00
Bid/Ask
GBX 310.00 / GBX 518.60
Market Cap
GBX 353.49 Bil
Volume/Avg
3.3 Mil / 7.4 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
Price/Sales
1.18
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
Dividend Yield (Forward)
Total Yield

Company Profile

Ocado, one of the largest pure online grocers in the world, operates in two divisions. Ocado Retail is the group's online grocery business in the United Kingdom, a joint venture with Marks & Spencer; it offers an extensive product range of over 55,000 items via its Ocado.com website and holds more than 15% of the U.K. online grocery market and approximately 2% of the total U.K. grocery market. Ocado Solutions is built on the Ocado Smart Platform, a modular, automated online retail fulfillment and delivery solution that involves the provision of software, fulfillment infrastructure, and support services to corporate clients for a variety of one-time and ongoing costs. OSP has allowed the company to work with some of the world's largest grocers, including Ocado's retail operation.
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Grocery Stores
Stock Style Box
Mid Core
Total Number of Employees
18,869

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
OCDO
AMZN
TSCO
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
51.4913.68
Price/Book Value
2.598.951.95
Price/Sales
1.183.340.34
Price/Cash Flow
30.8618.556.54
Price/Earnings
OCDO
AMZN
TSCO

Financial Strength

Metric
OCDO
AMZN
TSCO
Quick Ratio
2.130.830.30
Current Ratio
2.351.070.81
Interest Coverage
−2.1715.353.47
Quick Ratio
OCDO
AMZN
TSCO

Profitability

Metric
OCDO
AMZN
TSCO
Return on Assets (Normalized)
−8.48%11.69%3.59%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
−26.28%31.44%14.01%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
−9.41%17.95%7.75%
Return on Assets
OCDO
AMZN
TSCO
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