Healthpeak Earnings: Same-Store NOI Growth for Life Science and CCRC Segments Higher Than Expected

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Healthpeak Properties Inc
(DOC)

Healthpeak PEAK reported first-quarter results that were slightly better than we anticipated, leading us to reaffirm our $33.50 fair value estimate for the no-moat company. Same-store net operating income, or NOI, for the life science segment grew 6.3% in the first quarter, slightly better than our estimate of 5.6% growth. The medical office segment saw 3.7% same-store NOI growth, in line with our estimate. Finally, same-store NOI for the continuing care retirement community segment grew 9.5%, better than our estimate of 4.3% growth. Combined, total same-store NOI grew 5.5% in the first quarter, which beat our estimate of 4.4% total growth. Healthpeak reported adjusted funds from operations, or FFO, of $0.42 per share in the quarter, in line with our estimate for the company.

While Healthpeak reported same-store NOI growth above our forecast for the first quarter, we believe that our full-year estimate is still in line with management’s guidance. Management did increase total same-store NOI growth by 25 basis points to a new range of 3.0%-4.5% from the prior range of 2.75%-4.25% after the strong first-quarter results. After incorporating the first-quarter outperformance into our estimates, our new estimate of 3.7% is near the midpoint of the updated guidance range. Additionally, our adjusted FFO estimate of $1.76 per share remains at the high end of management’s guidance range of $1.70-$1.76, which remained unchanged in the quarter. Therefore, we remain confident in both our short-term and long-term forecasts for the company.

The author or authors do not own shares in any securities mentioned in this article. Find out about Morningstar’s editorial policies.

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Kevin Brown, CFA

Senior Equity Analyst
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Kevin Brown, CFA, is a senior equity analyst, AM Financial Services, for Morningstar*. He covers healthcare, hotel, residential, and retail REITs the United States. He has created and maintains financial models for all companies under coverage, focusing on the historical performance and then forecasting the fundamentals to derive a fair value estimate for each company. He has also written multiple thought-leadership reports on the broader REIT sector and the subsectors under his coverage.

Before joining Morningstar in 2018, Brown worked at an asset-management company focused on global real estate, spending nine years covering healthcare and hotel REITs. He developed buy/sell recommendations in each sector to enable portfolio managers to create individualized sector allocations for each client portfolio. He conducted property tours and meetings with company executives and industry experts to evaluate individual company strategies and deepen his understanding of sector fundamentals. Brown was also a board member for the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT North American Advisory Committee between 2008 and 2017.

Brown holds a bachelor’s degree in economics from Dartmouth College. He also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation.

* Morningstar Research Services LLC (“Morningstar”) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc

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