Park Hotels Earnings: Makes Progress Toward Exiting Two Financially Underwater San Francisco Hotels

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Park Hotels & Resorts Inc
(PK)

Third-quarter results for Park Hotels and Resorts PK were relatively in line with our expectations, leading us to reaffirm our $26.50 fair value estimate for the no-moat company. Occupancy increased 250 basis points year over year to 73.9% in the third quarter, though that is below the 84.5% occupancy figure the company reported for the same portfolio of hotels in the third quarter of 2019. Average daily rate fell 0.5% year over year, though is up 6.9% over the third quarter of 2019. As a result, revenue per available room increased 3.0% year-over-year, which is slightly below our estimate of 6.1% growth and is now just 6.4% below the figure reported in the third quarter of 2019. The company reported same-store revenue growth of 3.9%, hotel EBITDA margin growth of 30 basis points to 26.3%, and hotel EBITDA growth of 5.0% for the quarter. This led to Park reporting adjusted funds from operations of $0.51 per share in the third quarter, a penny better than our $0.50 estimate and nine cents better than the $0.42 figure the company reported in the third quarter of 2022.

Park continues to make progress in exiting the two Hilton hotels it owns in San Francisco. The company announced that the hotels have been placed into a court-ordered receivership, which therefore means Park no longer has an economic interest in the hotels and will no longer financially support the operations of the hotels. The $725 million mortgage loan on the two hotels matures in November, so Park will also very soon no longer have any interest payments on the two hotels. Given that Park paid $6 million in interest expense for the mortgage on two hotels that combined to only generate $1 million in hotel EBITDA in the third quarter and that the San Francisco market is likely facing a long, slow recovery, we believe that management made the hard but smart choice to give up control of the hotels, which should create value for shareholders.

The author or authors do not own shares in any securities mentioned in this article. Find out about Morningstar’s editorial policies.

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Kevin Brown, CFA

Senior Equity Analyst
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Kevin Brown, CFA, is a senior equity analyst, AM Financial Services, for Morningstar*. He covers healthcare, hotel, residential, and retail REITs the United States. He has created and maintains financial models for all companies under coverage, focusing on the historical performance and then forecasting the fundamentals to derive a fair value estimate for each company. He has also written multiple thought-leadership reports on the broader REIT sector and the subsectors under his coverage.

Before joining Morningstar in 2018, Brown worked at an asset-management company focused on global real estate, spending nine years covering healthcare and hotel REITs. He developed buy/sell recommendations in each sector to enable portfolio managers to create individualized sector allocations for each client portfolio. He conducted property tours and meetings with company executives and industry experts to evaluate individual company strategies and deepen his understanding of sector fundamentals. Brown was also a board member for the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT North American Advisory Committee between 2008 and 2017.

Brown holds a bachelor’s degree in economics from Dartmouth College. He also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation.

* Morningstar Research Services LLC (“Morningstar”) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc

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