Pembina Earnings: Wildfires and Pipeline Outages Trim Outlook

Pembina's second-quarter earnings were weak, as the ongoing Canadian wildfires and reduced operating pressure on the Northern pipeline system until mid-May hurt results. Pembina narrowed its 2023 EBITDA outlook to a range of $200 million from $300 million, effectively removing some earnings upside, while maintaining a midpoint of CAD 3.65 billion. We will maintain our 2023 EBITDA CAD 3.7 billion forecast, our CAD 41 per share fair value estimate, and no moat rating. Our USD fair value estimate moves up slightly to USD 31 per share due to refreshed exchange rates.