GM's Strong Combustion Business Enables EV Investment

We see General Motors with a competitive lineup in all segments it competes in, combined with a reduced cost base ($2 billion more in cuts across 2023-24), finally enabling it to have the scale to match its size. We think GM's earnings potential is excellent because the company has a healthy North American unit and a nearly mature finance arm with GM Financial. Moving hourly workers' retiree healthcare to a separate fund and closing plants drastically lowered GM North America's breakeven point to US industry sales of about 10 million-11 million vehicles, assuming 18%-19% share. We expect more scale to come from GM moving its production onto vehicle sets over the next few years and a joint venture making EV batteries for even more flexibility and scale.