Carnival PLC CCL

Morningstar Rating

Company Report

With Robust Advance Bookings, Carnival Is Set for Rising Cash Flow Generation

Carnival remains the largest company in the cruise industry, with nine global brands and 92 ships at the end of fiscal 2023. The global cruise market has historically been underpenetrated, offering cruise companies a long-term demand opportunity. Additionally, the ability to reposition and redeploy ships to faster-growing and underrepresented regions like Asia-Pacific had helped balance the supply in high-capacity regions like the Caribbean and Mediterranean before the pandemic, a factor that the firm can again choose to utilize to help optimize forward pricing. Although European demand and occupancy is converging on normalized levels, we believe there is still support for improving economic performance at Carnival.

Price vs Fair Value

CCL is trading at a 478% premium.
Price
GBX 1,229.00
Fair Value
GBX 8,224.00
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
GBX 8,764.39
5-Star Price
GBX 2,942.00
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

As Carnival faces controlled capacity growth (supply) over the next few years, yields could rise faster than we currently anticipate.

Bears

The media accessing negative experience commentary regarding cruise incidents could weigh on Carnival's brand image and pricing leverage, making new cruisers hesitant to try cruising. A decrease in new cruisers leads to fewer repeat cruisers.

News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
Day Range
52-Week Range
Bid/Ask
/
Market Cap
Volume/Avg
/

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
13.54
Price/Sales
0.86
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
0.00%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
0.00%
Total Yield
0.01%

Company Profile

Carnival is the largest global cruise company, with 92 ships in service at the end of fiscal 2023. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Line, Holland America Line, Princess, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; and Costa Cruises in Southern Europe. It's currently folding its P&O Australia brand into Carnival. The firm also operates Holland America and Princess Alaska tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival's brands attracted nearly 13 million guests in 2019 before covid-19, a level it reached again in 2023.
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Leisure
Stock Style Box
Large Core
Total Number of Employees
106,000

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
CCL
NCLH
RCL
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
13.5417.8817.80
Price/Book Value
2.3812.937.69
Price/Sales
0.861.013.44
Price/Cash Flow
4.666.1412.32
Price/Earnings
CCL
NCLH
RCL

Financial Strength

Metric
CCL
NCLH
RCL
Quick Ratio
0.180.120.08
Current Ratio
0.300.240.19
Interest Coverage
1.801.552.77
Quick Ratio
CCL
NCLH
RCL

Profitability

Metric
CCL
NCLH
RCL
Return on Assets (Normalized)
3.26%2.97%7.96%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
22.47%159.46%58.20%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
8.48%9.45%13.67%
Return on Assets
CCL
NCLH
RCL

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