New World Development Co Ltd 00017

Morningstar Rating

Company Report

NWD Earnings: A 15% Valuation Cut on Lower Profit Forecast; Management Change Is Mildly Positive

New World Development’s HKD 19.7 billion net loss for fiscal 2024 (ended in June) aligns with its prior profit warning. The bigger surprise came from management’s reshuffle, in which the current COO, Ma Siu-Cheung, replaced Adrian Cheng as the new CEO on Sept. 26, 2024. While we do not expect any major change in NWD’s operations, we think the new management team will likely accelerate debt repayments to deleverage. This may revive investors' confidence in the company, which saw an elevated net gearing ratio of 55% as of June 2024. NWD reiterated ongoing plans of divesting noncore assets and containing operating costs to ease financial pressure. We think the positive shift in homebuyers’ sentiment in Hong Kong and mainland China amid policy tailwind and interest rate reduction is also conducive.

Price vs Fair Value

00017 is trading at a 243% premium.
Price
HK$9.96
Fair Value
HK$5.90
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
HK$35.41
5-Star Price
HK$1.68
Economic Moat
Tsby
Capital Allocation
Zypmfgjpf

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

A higher mix of recurring income from investment properties in Hong Kong and mainland China should continue to lift earnings quality for NWD.

Bears

Sluggish near-term property sales in mainland China and Hong Kong would hurt cash flow and raise debt servicing risks.

News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
Day Range
52-Week Range
Bid/Ask
/
Market Cap
Volume/Avg
/

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
70.98
Price/Sales
0.70
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
5.02%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
4.02%
Total Yield
5.02%

Company Profile

New World Development is the listed property arm of Chow Tai Fook, owned by the Cheng family. Chow Tai Fook owns a 45% stake in NWD, which mainly engages in residential property development and investment properties of retail malls and offices in Hong Kong and mainland China. NWD also develops high-end hotels across Hong Kong, mainland China and in Southeast Asia. Additionally, NWD holds a 75% interest in New World Department Store China, which operates 24 department stores in mainland China.
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
Real Estate - Diversified
Stock Style Box
Mid Value
Total Number of Employees
11,000

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
00017
00016
00012
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
70.9810.6013.70
Price/Book Value
0.140.410.39
Price/Sales
0.703.514.28
Price/Cash Flow
50.5010.0722.14
Price/Earnings
00017
00016
00012

Financial Strength

Metric
00017
00016
00012
Quick Ratio
0.450.370.43
Current Ratio
1.123.762.15
Interest Coverage
2.129.075.46
Quick Ratio
00017
00016
00012

Profitability

Metric
00017
00016
00012
Return on Assets (Normalized)
2.03%2.89%1.69%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
5.86%3.89%2.80%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
2.97%3.52%2.34%
Return on Assets
00017
00016
00012

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