Tabcorp Holdings Ltd

TAH: XASX (AUS)
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Tabcorp: Weaker Wagering Raises Competitive Pressure

With softer wagering activity, competition is heating up for Tabcorp. Revenue was down about 6% in the first quarter of fiscal 2024, with revenue declines across all segments. We expect weaker wagering activity to have an outsize impact on earnings as Tabcorp is forced to increase promotional spending to retain share. Punters show little loyalty to bookmakers and increasingly compare odds online before placing bets. We lower our fiscal 2024 EBIT forecast by 20% to AUD 129 million—a 14% decline on fiscal 2023.

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