Relaunching Coverage of Tele2; FVE of SEK 100; Upgrade to Exemplary Capital Allocation

Tele2 aims to maintain its position as Sweden’s second-largest player in both the mobile and broadband markets. Although Sweden’s consumer market is relatively stable, we expect Telia, and not Tele2, to be the main target of any pressures coming from Telenor or HiG3. Telia is by far Sweden’s most expensive telecom provider, with prices 15% to 30% higher than peers in both mobile and broadband. Tele2 executes moderate price increases every year which customers seem to accept, but the pricing gap with Telia is still large. We therefore expect Tele2 will maintain or slightly grow its subscriber numbers, while it tries to close the price gap with Telia.